Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.001153 0.001302 0.001452 0.001612 0.001779 0.001947 0.002129
2025-11-16 0.000921 0.001136 0.001359 0.001604 0.001864 0.002131 0.002424
2025-11-23 0.000741 0.001004 0.001285 0.001601 0.001943 0.002299 0.002695
2025-11-30 0.000634 0.000940 0.001274 0.001659 0.002081 0.002525 0.003023
2025-12-07 0.000505 0.000837 0.001212 0.001651 0.002142 0.002663 0.003254
2025-12-14 0.000380 0.000725 0.001129 0.001615 0.002165 0.002757 0.003432
2025-12-21 0.000311 0.000672 0.001111 0.001646 0.002260 0.002924 0.003687
2025-12-28 0.000222 0.000583 0.001042 0.001615 0.002280 0.003007 0.003846
2026-01-04 0.000164 0.000527 0.001008 0.001620 0.002338 0.003129 0.004046
2026-01-11 0.000109 0.000463 0.000959 0.001604 0.002370 0.003219 0.004208
2026-01-18 0.000066 0.000408 0.000917 0.001593 0.002405 0.003310 0.004370
2026-01-25 0.000027 0.000342 0.000855 0.001554 0.002404 0.003359 0.004483
2026-02-01 0.000002 0.000278 0.000803 0.001542 0.002454 0.003488 0.004711
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000224 0.000759 0.001540 0.002516 0.003632 0.004958
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000176 0.000720 0.001540 0.002582 0.003780 0.005210
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000158 0.000725 0.001599 0.002717 0.004009 0.005555
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000117 0.000684 0.001594 0.002772 0.004143 0.005791
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000074 0.000625 0.001559 0.002790 0.004232 0.005973
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000056 0.000614 0.001590 0.002887 0.004414 0.006261
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000027 0.000563 0.001560 0.002906 0.004500 0.006438
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000012 0.000537 0.001565 0.002967 0.004637 0.006672
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000001 0.000500 0.001550 0.003001 0.004740 0.006865
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000467 0.001539 0.003040 0.004847 0.007062